Edge — the gap between our model's probability and the bookmaker's implied probability. A 5% edge means our model thinks the outcome is 5 percentage points more likely than the odds suggest.

Hit Rate — the percentage of recommended bets that won, shown as wins out of total settled bets. More settled bets means a more reliable number.

CLV (Closing Line Value) — did the market move towards our prediction before kickoff? Positive CLV is the strongest long-term indicator of genuine edge — it means bookmakers agreed with our assessment after we made it.

Sample Size — results from fewer than 30 settled bets are marked as early. Treat them as directional, not conclusive.

Edge Tiers — HIGH (8%+), MEDIUM (4–8%), Speculative (2–4%). These reflect the size of the model's edge over the bookmaker, not the certainty of the outcome.