Calibrated probability predictions for player prop markets — yellow cards, tackles, fouls. Edge-scored against live bookmaker odds with Kelly staking.
Every number is calibrated. Every bet is edge-scored. No noise, no hype.
Isotonic regression post-processing ensures that when we say 65%, we mean 65%. PR-AUC tracked on every model version.
Every angle is compared against live bookmaker lines. Only surfaces bets with meaningful edge above implied probability.
Combine legs with correlation adjustment. Naïve probability vs true joint probability — know exactly what you're buying.
Yellow card accumulation vs league thresholds. Know before kickoff who is one booking from a ban.
Per-fixture deep dive: referee fingerprint, team form, H2H history, key absences, positional matchups.
Half-Kelly stake recommendations scaled to your bankroll. Never over-bet a single angle again.
Start free. Upgrade when the edge speaks for itself.
Today's feed, match list, basic fixture cheat sheets.
Full edge scores, Kelly staking, player profiles and trends.
Bet Builder Lab, SHAP explanations, suspension radar, CLV tracking.
Currently in private beta — all features available to testers.